UFC Vegas 51 Picks & Predictions: Who Ya Got?

Main Card Picks

Vicente Luque (-170) vs. Belal Muhammad (+150)

Ranked welterweight contenders will collide in the main event of UFC Fight Night on Saturday as No. 4-ranked Vicente Luque takes on No. 5-ranked Belal Muhammad in a rematch of a battle that first took place in 2016.

Luque is a -170 favorite (risk $170 to win $100), while Muhammad comes back at +150 (risk $100 to win $150). Even though the oddsmakers favor Luque, we feel that Muhammad is going to shut down Luque’s striking with his ground game. The Bully has come a long way since suffering that first-round KO during the first fight. That was 6 years ago and since then Muhammad has gone on to gain dominant wins over top-ranked opponents like Stephen Thompson who had a dominant win over Luque. The Bully has been absolutely mowing through his opponents so for this reason as well, our pick is for “The Bully” Belal Muhammad.

Our pick to win: Belal Muhammad

Gadzhi Omargadzhiev (-135) vs. Caio Borralho (+115)

Caio Borralho and Gadzhi OmargadzhievCaio Borralho and Gadzhi Omargadzhiev The pair of Dana White’s Contender Series alums will showcase their skills in front of a UFC audience for the first time right before the main event.

Both Caio Borralho and Gadzhi Omargadzhiev have punched their ticket to the UFC with finishes in Dana White’s Contender Series and both will get the rare opportunity to make their UFC debut as the co-main even headliners, but there’s a clear difference between these two with Borralho playing the part of the classic striker and Omargadzhiev relying heavily on his wrestling to take down the striker. 

Borralho has a few submission wins to his name and good kickboxing, but the Russian brings relentless wrestling to the cage and will look to wear down and smash the Brazilian with his forward pressure. 

Our pick to win: Gadzhi Omargadzhiev

Miguel Baeza  (-170)  vs. Andre Fialho (+150)

Andre Fialho doesn’t have nearly the same experience. as Miguel Baeza. Fialho He had four straight knockout wins in a smaller promotion in the United Arab Emirates before scoring his UFC contract and losing his debut to Michel Pereira on short notice. However, Miguel Baeza showed a lot of promise by winning his first three fights in the UFC but back-to-back losses to Khaos Williams and Santiago Ponzinibbio have cast doubt over his ceiling. 

Picking this fight is tough because of Fialho’s lack of experience and there’s not much to go on outside of his time-fighting in smaller unknown promotions. And despite Beaza having back-to-back losses, albeit to Khaos Williams and Santiago Ponzinibbio, two of the division’s most lethal strikers-Baeza’s striking has been good and has looked crisp in of his fights outside of those with Williams and Ponzinibbio. This could go either way but we’re gonna give the edge to Baeza for his experience going toe-to-toe with killers in the UFC known for their striking. 

Our pick to win: Miguel Baeza

Mayra Bueno Silva (-490) vs. Wu Yanan (+370)

Mayra Bueno Silva is a top-flight Brazilian jiu-jitsu athlete with plenty of toughness and durability to complement her impressive power and grappling chops. The only hole she was shown in her game is that she tends to allow her opponents to dictate where the fight goes. So far Silva has been able to secure a couple of wins despite this since joining the UFC’s roster, all thanks to her prodigious talents. Her opponent, Yanan Wu, presents an interesting challenge for Silva: Wu never stops moving forward but her defense has overshadowed her constant output when it comes time to add things up. Strictly on talent, this fight is Silva’s all day, especially if the fight hits the mat as Silva has proven to be a deadly submission threat. Many are saying that Wu isn’t UFC caliber and Silva will prove that here as she will be piece her up on the feet, and mix in the grappling, which will lead to a stoppage or a win late in the fight. Either way, we agree on this pick. Silva for the win.

Our pick to win: Mayra Bueno Silva

Pat Sabatini (-490) vs. TJ Laramie (+370)

Sabatini looks like the real deal and will be too strong for Laramie and should be able to take him down and outwrestle the Canadian to win a decision. Sabatini has proven himself to be one of the more resourceful mat practitioners in the division. If it comes down to the striking, neither tends to win their fights in that department, but Sabatini has the stronger track record. While Laramie has the talent to get by the crafty Sabatini, we haven’t seen the fight IQ required for him to do so. For that reason, our pick is Sabitini for the win.

Our pick to win: Pat Sabatini

Mounir Lazzez (-200) vs. Ange Loosa (+170)

Lazzez has got the length to pick apart his opponent just like his nickname “The Sniper” would indicate. Additionally, Lazzez has proven he isn’t afraid to pursue takedowns as well, proving himself to have a deeper bag of tricks than most believed when he was signed. He’ll welcome short notice opponent Ange Loosa of Switzerland. Loosa came up short in his DWCS appearance last fall, but it was also one of the best contests in the history of the program. Despite the loss, Loosa showed plenty of heart, toughness, and power. Still, Loosa has accepted this fight on short notice with less than a week to scout his opponent and formulate a proper plan of attack, so don’t be surprised if Lazzez puts him to sleep with one of his crushing kicks in the early rounds.

Our pick to win: Mounir Lazzez